Polymarket brings ultra-short crypto prediction markets to U.S. platform
Polymarket’s new Up/Down crypto contracts come as the CFTC renews scrutiny of the prediction market’s compliance with its 2022 U.S. onboarding terms.
Prediction Markets
U.S. agency hits Utah with lawsuit to shield Kalshi’s ability to offer betting there
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has pursued more than a dozen legal actions to protect what its chief sees as its sole power over prediction markets.
NBA joins pro sports leagues on CFTC prediction markets bandwagon while NFL balks
The U.S. derivatives regulator, which has championed the arrival of prediction market firms such as Kalshi, has been gathering allied sports leagues.
Robinhood sees surge in bitcoin, gold prediction markets as traders move beyond sports
The company’s head of futures and prediction markets said bitcoin, gold and oil contracts are among its fastest-growing prediction markets.
Kalshi CEO says state-led oversight of U.S. prediction markets would push them out
CEO Tarek Mansour said he feels “pretty good” about the pending outcome of the current legal fight over who has the right to regulate prediction markets.
Everyone wants SCOTUS to take up prediction markets: State of Crypto
The U.S. Supreme Court hasn’t yet indicated whether it will take up cases surrounding prediction markets, but there are now several amicus briefs, an interim final rule and a rule proposal.
U.S. CFTC moves to fold event contracts into swaps regulations as legal fight rages
The derivatives regulator is proposing a formal rule to include certain contracts traded on platforms like Kalshi’s as swaps that require the agency’s oversight.
U.S. CFTC seeks event contract definitions that may defy states’ gambling claims
As it battles with states over prediction markets, the CFTC sent two related rules on swaps definitions for White House review.
Another appeals court rules against prediction market provider Kalshi, says sports contracts are subject to state regulations
A Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals panel ruled that prediction markets’ sports-related events contracts are not swaps, and therefore aren’t subject to federal regulatory oversight.
U.S. regulator warns about cheating risks in ‘mention markets’ on prediction platforms
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission issued a new advisory to flag the unique dangers of markets based on individuals’ behavior.