Schwab to join prediction markets race with S&P 500 event-based options: WSJ
The planned offering would let customers bet on index moves as Coinbase and Robinhood expand in the sector.
Prediction Markets
Kalshi’s crypto perpetuals spark debate over whether they’re futures or swaps
A clash between derivatives veterans is exposing a deeper discussion over how U.S. regulators should classify crypto perpetual contracts.
Former SEC, CFTC Chair Gary Gensler argues that prediction markets don’t overrule state regulations
The former regulator joined a number of interest groups in arguing that prediction markets are overstepping their bounds by offering sports-related contracts.
A massive hiring wave reveals trading firms are no longer viewing Polymarket as a niche betting tool
While rising volume on Polymarket and Kalshi is attracting quantitative firms to prediction markets, they aren’t focusing on event outcomes; rather, they’re exploiting market inefficiencies for profit.
Prediction market traders bet bitcoin’s selloff has further to run
Markets now imply a 66% chance bitcoin falls below $55,000 and a coin-flip chance of sub-$50,000 prices before year-end.
Gemini taps SpaceXAI to build a personalized prediction markets feed
The new feature integrates SpaceXAI models to deliver real-time market intelligence, personalized signals and portfolio insights directly inside the Gemini app.
Trump praises prediction markets, defends CFTC as court cases compound
U.S. President Donald Trump said it was “critically important” that the CFTC keep “exclusive authority” over prediction markets, echoing CFTC Chair Michael Selig.
Congress hits Polymarket and Kalshi with a massive insider trading probe
Rep. James Comer is demanding internal records from the prediction market CEOs, warning that government employees could be using classified information to make “huge profits”.
India cracks down on prediction markets: Polymarket goes dark, Kalshi could be next
Polymarket has gone dark in India and as per local media reports, Kalshi could be next.
Crypto prediction markets are turning into dangerous national security risks, and Congress wants to ban them
Bubblemaps investigators led by Nicolas Vaiman, discovered 80 bets on Polymarket with a 98% win rate that he said is statistically impossible to achieve.