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Unemployment and productivity data arrived stronger than expected but investors seemed focused narrowly on the ongoing negotiations that will determine if the U.S. government has to default on its debts.
Deribit’s forward-looking ether volatility index (ETH DVOL) hit lifetime lows over the weekend. Expectations for price turbulence appear underpriced considering the lingering macroeconomic uncertainties.
The U.S. dollar has been heavily shorted since early October in hopes for a so-called dovish Fed pivot and looks ripe for a short squeeze, a move higher driven by unwinding of bearish positions. Bitcoin tends to move in the opposite direction of the dollar.