If U.S. Election Is Disputed, Prediction Markets Could Face ‘Hornet’s Nest’
How will Polymarket and Kalshi resolve their presidential bets if there’s another Jan. 6 or Bush v. Gore situation?
Prediction Markets
Prediction Market Kalshi to Supply Price Data for Crypto Oracle Stork
Initially, Kalshi’s feeds will power perpetual futures contracts on decentralized exchanges. Eventually, the centralized betting platform might referee on-chain prediction markets.
Polymarket Is Huge Success for Polygon Blockchain – Everywhere But the Bottom Line
One of the major breakout successes this year for the team behind layer-2 blockchain Polygon is Polymarket. But according to data, Polymarket has only brought in about $27,000 of transaction fees for Polygon PoS in 2024.
Activist Group Says Kalshi’s Election Market Should Be Shut Due to ‘Manipulative’ Whales
Better Markets is using Polymarket’s “French connection” as ammo against the prediction market’s regulated competitor.
Trump Polymarket Odds Briefly Dip After His No. 2 Bull Adds Bet on Harris
The former president’s probability of retaking the White House slid to 59% Wednesday before rebounding.
No, Polymarket Whales Aren’t Evidence of Prediction Market Manipulation
If you think the Trump bulls are wrong, bet against them.
U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi’s Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction
In just three weeks, Kalshi’s presidential prediction market has passed $30M in volume. It still trails Polymarket’s $2 billion.
U.S. Election Betting: Federal Court ‘Erred’ in Letting Kalshi Launch Prediction Markets, CFTC Says
A federal judge “erred” in letting prediction market purveyor Kalshi list and trade election contracts, attorneys for the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission argued in a brief to an appellate court Wednesday, reiterating many of the arguments it made during its case before the lower court.
Kalshi Research Finds ‘Widespread Evidence’ of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections
A note from Kalshi’s market research team suggests the prediction market – polls gap can be explained by Harris’ sliding popularity with key demographics.
Does World Liberty Financial Count as Trump ‘Launching a Coin’? Polymarket Bettors Are Divided
Plus, a look at how PoliFi tokens are doing compared to prediction markets; there might be another #election2024 up north.