Biden’s Odds on Polymarket Little Changed After ABC TV Interview
The president’s chances of reelection remain 12% and his probability of dropping out stayed at 63%, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market platform.
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The president’s chances of reelection remain 12% and his probability of dropping out stayed at 63%, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market platform.
Will he stay or will he go? (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)
The vice president
Odds that the president will drop out of the race surged as high as 50% after the debate before leveling off at 40% on the crypto-based prediction market.
Biden’s chances at becoming the Democratic nominee also slid to 70%, while Gavin Newsom’s odds jumped to 15%.
Nearly all UMA voters said that the son of Donald Trump was not involved in the creation of the DJT token
Plus: $DJT believers dispute the resolution of a Polymarket bet, insisting the “preponderance of evidence” shows Barron Trump’s involvement.
Meanwhile, there’s a prediction market on whether the U.K. newspaper The Guardian will correct an article about prediction markets.
With a 56% chance of winning, according to the prediction market’s traders, the former president has a 22-point lead over the incumbent, far bigger than what the polls indicate.
A new market on betting application Polymarket has seen over $120,000 placed on Keith Gill making 10 figures on his GameStop equity and options holdings.