Biden Overtakes VP Harris as Likeliest Dem Nominee on Polymarket During President’s Press Conference (Update)
The president said he plans to stay in the race but “it’s important that I allay fears.”
Polymarket
Crypto-Friendly Sen. JD Vance’s Odds as Trump VP Pick Double on Polymarket
Traders on the crypto-based prediction market now see a 29% chance that the Ohio Republican will be former President Trump’s running mate, up from 14% a week ago.
Prediction Markets and Polls Both Got the French Election Wrong
Plus: Polymarket traders remain skeptical about Biden’s insistence he’s staying in the U.S. presidential race; will ETH fall to $2,630?
Biden’s Odds on Polymarket Little Changed After ABC TV Interview
The president’s chances of reelection remain 12% and his probability of dropping out stayed at 63%, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market platform.
Biden’s Odds of Dropping Out Surge to Almost 80% on Polymarket After New York Times Report
Will he stay or will he go? (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)
Kamala Harris’ Odds of Winning Democratic Nomination Surge on Polymarket
The vice president
UPDATE: Polymarket Logs First $100M Month as Election Drama Heats Up
Odds that the president will drop out of the race surged as high as 50% after the debate before leveling off at 40% on the crypto-based prediction market.
Trump’s Odds of Victory Surge to 67% in Polymarket Post-Presidential Debate
Biden’s chances at becoming the Democratic nominee also slid to 70%, while Gavin Newsom’s odds jumped to 15%.
Polymarket Contradicts Its Oracle Service in Rarity for Prediction Market
Nearly all UMA voters said that the son of Donald Trump was not involved in the creation of the DJT token
Biden Likely to Win Popular Vote, but Lose Presidency, Prediction Market Signals
Plus: $DJT believers dispute the resolution of a Polymarket bet, insisting the “preponderance of evidence” shows Barron Trump’s involvement.