Polymarket Trader Betting on Donald Trump Win Ends Up Getting 99% Odds
Low liquidity led to massive slippage for one entity trying to buy up Trump “yes” shares in a short period.
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Low liquidity led to massive slippage for one entity trying to buy up Trump “yes” shares in a short period.
Better Markets is using Polymarket’s “French connection” as ammo against the prediction market’s regulated competitor.
The former president’s probability of retaking the White House slid to 59% Wednesday before rebounding.
If you think the Trump bulls are wrong, bet against them.
In just three weeks, Kalshi’s presidential prediction market has passed $30M in volume. It still trails Polymarket’s $2 billion.
A note from Kalshi’s market research team suggests the prediction market – polls gap can be explained by Harris’ sliding popularity with key demographics.
Plus, a look at how PoliFi tokens are doing compared to prediction markets; there might be another #election2024 up north.
His odds of winning the U.S. presidential election have soared to a more than two-month high.
“Of course I’m not Satoshi,” Todd told CoinDesk Tuesday, saying that filmmaker Cullen Hoback was “grasping at straws.”
With a month to go before Election Day, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have listed prediction markets on the race for the White House.