The Popular $100K Year-End Goal for Bitcoin Has Less Than 10% Probability in Options Market
The low pricing seems consistent with stable and rangebound implied volatility.
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The low pricing seems consistent with stable and rangebound implied volatility.
The institution set up a multi-legged strategy in Derive’s onchain options market, generating $25 million in volume.
APE has doubled in value to $1.5 since the weekend.
Traders seek upside exposure in BTC even as FX option indicate a bias a bullish bias for the dollar index.
BTC’s implied volatility curve shows a noticeable kink on Oct. 5, signaling expectations for an unusually volatile Saturday.
The company strengthens its bitcoin position with a strategic options sale, generating nearly 24 BTC ($1.4M) in premium.
Just as optimism was about to surge, clouds rolled in, pushing prices lower.
Notional open interest in BTC options tied to U.S. elections. (Amberdata)
Call buyers are implicitly bullish on the market.
One market observer noted “very concentrated call buying” looking to profit from a rally to between $74,000 and $80,000 by the end of this month.