Bettors Lose Millions Predicting the New Pope as Polymarket Edge Fizzles Out
The event throws into question the perceived heightened accuracy of betting markets like Poymarket over conventional polls.
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The event throws into question the perceived heightened accuracy of betting markets like Poymarket over conventional polls.
The rally followed a U.K. trade deal announcement and record ETF inflows exceeding $40 billion.
Bears are nursing their highest losses over two years as majors surged as much as 20%.
Spot bitcoin ETF net inflows totaled over $4 billion in the last three weeks, when adjusted for hedge fund basis trades, the bank said.
The price has jumped 33% in a few weeks after plunging to $75,000 in the days following President Trump’s early April Liberation Day tariff announcement.
Holding rates steady, the U.S. central bank took note of the possibility of higher inflation and unemployment.
Bailey, who advised President Donald Trump on crypto policy during his 2024 presidential campaign, is reportedly raising $300 million to buy bitcoin.
All eyes will now turn to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference for further clues about the central bank’s thinking on monetary policy.
Barclays, JPMorgan, Compass Point and Oppenheimer all cut their first-quarter forecasts last month, citing weaker crypto trading.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is headed to Switzerland for talks with Chinese representatives.