U.S. Political Prediction Markets: Why Kalshi’s Court Victory Matters
If it turns out that the judge’s ruling preempts the CFTC’s proposed rulemaking, election event contracts may now be completely legal.
Kalshi
Kalshi’s New Political Prediction Markets Halted as CFTC Appeals Loss
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission appealed its loss against prediction markets platform Kalshi to the D.C. Appeals Court late Thursday.
Kalshi Lists Election Contracts After Defeating CFTC in Court
The agency plans to appeal the case brought by the trading platform, and could still ask the higher court to stop the firm from listing the contracts.
U.S. Election Betting: What’s at Stake in Final (?) CFTC-Kalshi Showdown
Here’s how to listen to Thursday’s hearing in the closely watched federal court case over political prediction markets, and why it matters.
Kalshi’s U.S. Election Markets Delayed Until Friday at Earliest
The judge in the prediction market’s court case against the CFTC has called a hearing Thursday over the regulator’s motion for a two-week delay.
CFTC Pleads With Judge to Block Kalshi Election Contracts for 14 Days
The agency says it can’t make “an informed decision” about whether to appeal the judge’s decision in Kalshi’s favor until it knows her rationale.
Kamala Harris Pulls Well Ahead of Trump on Polymarket
U.S. vice president Kamala Harris (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)
Prediction Markets and Polls Both Got the French Election Wrong
Plus: Polymarket traders remain skeptical about Biden’s insistence he’s staying in the U.S. presidential race; will ETH fall to $2,630?
U.S. CFTC Proposes Ban on Political Event Contracts
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) proposed a formal rejection of event contracts that bet on the outcome of political activity in a vote on Friday, beginning an effort to wall off U.S. customers from platforms that allow the trading of predictive contracts.