Bettors Lose Millions Predicting the New Pope as Polymarket Edge Fizzles Out
The event throws into question the perceived heightened accuracy of betting markets like Poymarket over conventional polls.
Betting
Coinbase-Backed Vega Gets Into Prediction-Market Race, Chasing Polymarket
A major upgrade to Vega’s blockchain and decentralized perpetuals exchange will allow users to bet on the outcomes of future events.
Crypto VC Paradigm Invests in MetaDAO as Prediction Markets Boom
MetaDAO, a Solana experiment in governance by “futarchy,” raised a total of $2.2 million to fund operations.
Crypto Bettors Lay 17% Odds on Donald Trump in Jail Before Election Day
Gamblers have placed almost $900,000 in bets on the “Trump in jail before election day?” market on the predictions application Polymarket.
‘Deniers Are Crypto’s Flat Earthers’ as Markets Flash 83% Odds of Bitcoin ETF Approval
The popular Polymarket market bet “Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?” has attracted almost $1 million in volume from hundreds of users.
After GOP Debate, Blockchain Bettors See Ramaswamy as Most Formidable Trump Challenger
Betting lines didn’t change much as a result of Wednesday’s debate, but the Bitcoin-friendly entrepreneur has edged out Florida governor Ron Desantis this past week in the GOP’s race for second place.
CFTC to Review Prediction Market Kalshi’s Contracts to Bet on Control of Congress
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission will decide on June 26 whether to start a formal 90-day review of prediction market provider KalshiEX’s contract that allows users to bet on which party takes control of the U.S. Congress.