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This disparity among the many states means that the implementation of the lock down might have been different in every state and may be attributed to other components like a difference in insurance policies and need additional investigation. Although absolutely the numbers may improve for some states, it is not an indication that the lockdown shouldn’t be working. Kerala in flattening the curve. Wanting simply on the smoothened information does not give the complete image. FLOATSUPERSCRIPT of March, 2020, displaying that the discount of every day number of cases in Kerala cannot be attributed to the 21-day nationwide lockdown. So we parallelly consider the % modifications in the time collection information of the every day confirmed instances.
Ninety five % prediction intervals. This leads us to marvel whether there are other components that would explain the success or failure of the lock down technique. FLOATSUPERSCRIPTof may can be round 7 days. These estimates primarily based on ARIMA mannequin for every state present a much better approximation for the whole number of cases. We see that regardless of of a national technique for containment, each state has carried out in another way and its performance depends upon the ground stage implementation and the methods adopted by the states themselves.